Jrue Holiday Points - Player Prop Bet 4/6/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Jrue Holiday

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers · Apr 6, 2026

Updated Apr 6, 2026 9:03 PM EST

Analysis

Jrue Holiday Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-127/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jrue Holiday has logged 20.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 more than he's logged overall this season.
The matchup against Denver is a good one; when the Denver Nuggets have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 2nd-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4).
The Nuggets have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to more plays for the Trail Blazers.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers grade out best in in the league with 14.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have attempted 5.0 free throws per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Nuggets, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

The Trail Blazers have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing away from home.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.