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Jrue Holiday Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-125).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -105.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Jrue Holiday has attempted 5.5 3-point shots per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 6.3 rate last season.Among all players in the league, Jrue Holiday comes in at the 85th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 33.5 minutes per game while on his home court this year.The Boston Celtics rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.The matchup against Toronto is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Raptors are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (3.7).This year, their opposition has grabbed 10.2 offensive boards per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Toronto Raptors (losing possessions that could otherwise bring about bonus opportunities for offense).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Jrue Holiday has attempted just 11.7 shots per game this year, significantly less than his 15.4 rate last year.The most sluggish pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics.The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Celtics.The Celtics rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.6 foul shots per game (14th-fewest in the league) vs. the Raptors, struggling to draw fouls.
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