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Josh Richardson

Josh Richardson Points
Player Prop - 1/5/2024

Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat

Josh Richardson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Josh Richardson has sunk 41.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 8.6% more than he's converted from three over the course of the season.

With respect to three-pointers, the Heat's outstanding 13.1 drained threes per game while on the road comes in as the 9th-most in the league over the last 10 games.

The Suns have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Heat.

The Suns have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Among all players in the league, Josh Richardson lands in the 95th percentile for free-throw prowess with a a phenomenal 93.8% rate this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This matchup is a strong one; when the Phoenix Suns are at home, they have given up the most points per game in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (115.8).

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league when playing on the road this year.

The Miami Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

This matchup may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; when the Suns are on their home court, opposing squads have attempted a whopping 22.0 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (most in the NBA).

Josh Richardson will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player production in all stat categories.

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