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Josh Okogie

Josh Okogie Points
Player Prop - 3/11/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings

Josh Okogie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Josh Okogie has converted 73.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 41.1% more than he's sunk overall this year.

Josh Okogie has sunk 36.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 10.3% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year.

Josh Okogie has averaged 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the lowest-fouling players in the league (19th percentile).

The matchup vs. the Kings is a good one for scoring; the other team's starting SFs have put up the 30th-highest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (48.4%).

The Kings have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Suns.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Josh Okogie has been on the court for 14.5 minutes per game when playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 23rd percentile -- seeing the court far less than most players in the league.

The Phoenix Suns have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

When playing on the road, the Kings have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Kings is a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted just 2.5 free throws per game this year (14th-least in the NBA).

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