Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 2/29/2024

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

New York Knicks vs Golden State Warriors · Feb 29, 2024

Updated Feb 29, 2024 7:27 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Hart has tallied 39.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 8.7 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The matchup against the Warriors is a strong one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the 30th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (47.0%).
The Knicks are expected to see a spike in plays today from competing against the 2nd-quickest pace road team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Golden State Warriors).
The New York Knicks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have secured 10.3 offensive boards per game (9th-lowest in the league) vs. the Warriors (minimizing possessions that could otherwise bring about extra chances for offense).

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 52.8% rate, Josh Hart's shooting effectiveness has diminished this season to 41.5%.
Josh Hart has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.9 more than he's been called for over the course of the year at home.
When it comes to offense, the New York Knicks's subpar 105.2 points per game with the home court advantage places 4th-lowest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Knicks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Warriors is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.4 free throws per game this year (8th-least in the NBA).

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