Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs New York Knicks · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This matchup is a difficult one for 3-point shots; when the Philadelphia 76ers are at home, opposing squads have posted the lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (31.5%).
The 4th-quickest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the New York Knicks.
The Knicks will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-speediest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the 76ers).
The New York Knicks rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Josh Hart has sunk 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while playing on the road.

Favors Under

Josh Hart has committed 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.2 higher than he's committed over the course of the season.
With respect to shooting, the Knicks's unimpressive 46.7% field goal rate settles in as the 8th-worst in the league this year.
The 76ers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (13.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have attempted 26.6 free throws per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.
Josh Hart is expected to suffer a drop-off in production across the board due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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