Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2023

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

New York Knicks vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 30, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 12:27 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last season's 2.9 rate, Josh Hart's personal fouls per game have decreased this season to 1.0.
The Knicks are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 4th-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pistons).
The Knicks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Away from home, the Pistons have given up the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.3) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Josh Hart has sunk an impressive 85.7% of his free throw attempts this year, quite a bit more than his 73.9 mark last year.

Favors Under

Josh Hart has successfully made a measly 28.6% of his attempts from beyond the arc this season, a significant dropoff from his 38.4 mark last season.
In regard to shooting, the Knicks's unimpressive 110.0 points per game ranks 4th-worst in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Detroit Pistons is a positive one; while playing at home they have given up the 7th-most points per game in the league to opposing squads this year (118.6).
The most sluggish tempo visiting team in the league this year has been the New York Knicks.
This matchup is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; when the Pistons are the visiting team, their opposition has attempted a monstrous 28.2 free throws per game this year (most in the NBA).

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