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Josh Hart

Josh Hart Points
Player Prop - 11/24/2023

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Josh Hart has averaged a measly 1.0 personal fouls per game this season, significantly lower than his 2.9 fouls per game last season.

The New York Knicks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they are on their home court, their opposition has captured 10.1 offensive boards per game (8th-fewest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus opportunities for offense).

The matchup against the Miami Heat is a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted a lowly 18.6 foul shots per game this year (least in the NBA).

Josh Hart should see a spike in effectiveness across the board due to owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Josh Hart has successfully made a measly 41.7% of his shot attempts from the field this year, quite a bit less than his 52.8 mark last year.

Relative to last year's 38.4% mark, Josh Hart's 3-point prowess has tailed off this year to 27.6%.

As it relates to shooting, the New York Knicks's unimpressive 110.1 points per game settles in as the 7th-fewest in the league this year.

This year, the other team has totaled 14.4 3-pointers per game (4th-most in the league) against the Heat, identifying this as a strong matchup.

The least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the New York Knicks.

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