Josh Hart Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/12/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks · May 12, 2023

Updated May 12, 2023 10:01 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Hart has converted 44.9% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games on the road, 9.1% higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year while on the road.
Josh Hart has attempted 3.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Josh Hart has played 31.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 85th percentile.
The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Josh Hart has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.
This matchup is a good one for three-pointers; when the Heat are on their home court, opposing squads have averaged the 2nd-most 3-pointers per game in the NBA against them this year (13.4).
The New York Knicks have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games while on the road.
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Knicks.
Josh Hart will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces stat production in all stat categories.