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Josh Green

Josh Green Points
Player Prop - 11/28/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets

Josh Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Josh Green has accumulated a mere 1.7 personal fouls per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 2.6 fouls per game last season.

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league as the away team this year.

The matchup vs. Houston is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Rockets have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.2).

The 6th-speediest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The Houston Rockets have given up the 10th-least offensive boards per game (10.6) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Josh Green has successfully made a mere 31.7% of his field goal attempts this year, significantly less than his 58.5 rate last year.

The Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Rockets).

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Relative to last year's 65.0% rate, Josh Green's foul-shot efficiency has been reduced this year to 33.3%.

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