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Josh Green

Josh Green Points
Player Prop - 11/25/2023

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks

Josh Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Compared to last season's 2.6 mark, Josh Green's personal fouls per game have regressed this season to 1.7.

The Mavericks check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA when playing at home this year.

This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has shot 34.1% on 3-pointers (4th-worst in the league) against the Clippers, making this a challenging matchup.

The 4th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Mavericks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Josh Green has converted a measly 40.1% of his shot attempts from the field this season, quite a bit lower than his 53.6 mark last season.

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have collected 11.8 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the LA Clippers (lengthening possessions that can lead to further chances for offense).

Josh Green has sunk just 45.0% of his foul shots this season, significantly lower than his 70.6 mark last season.

Josh Green will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player production in all stat categories.

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