My Account Log Out

reorder

Josh Green

Josh Green Points
Player Prop - 11/19/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings

Josh Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Josh Green has accumulated a lowly 1.7 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit less than his 2.6 fouls per game last year.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league on the road this year.

The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest pace road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Kings).

This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have come down with 8.4 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings (lessening possessions that could otherwise generate further chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In comparison to last year's 58.5% rate, Josh Green's shooting efficiency has been reduced this year to 28.1%.

This matchup is a favorable one for 3-point shots; when the Sacramento Kings are at home, the other team has posted the 5th-highest three percentage in the league against them this year (37.7%).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 10thworst in in the league while on their home court with only 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.

Compared to last season's 65.0% clip, Josh Green's foul-shot prowess has regressed this season to 25.0%.

This matchup may be a good one for getting to the foul line; when the Kings are the visiting squad, their opposition has attempted a colossal 22.5 free throws per game over the last 6 games (10th-most in the NBA).

More Josh Green Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™