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Josh Green

Josh Green Points
Player Prop - 11/15/2023

Washington Wizards vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Josh Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -128.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Relative to last year's 26.3% clip, Josh Green's 3-point ability has jumped this year to 50.5%.
  • Josh Green has tallied a lowly 1.8 personal fouls per game this season, quite a bit less than his 2.6 fouls per game last season.
  • The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
  • The 2nd-quickest tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.
  • The Wizards have played at the quickest pace in the league this year, which ought to increase plays for the Mavericks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup against Washington is a challenging one for 3-point shots; when the Wizards are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have compiled the 14th-lowest three percentage in the league since the start of last season (27.8%).
  • The Mavericks have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • When playing away from home, the Wizards have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
  • Josh Green has sunk just 43.8% of his foul shot attempts this season, quite a bit lower than his 70.6 rate last season.
  • The matchup vs. Washington is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a measly 2.3 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Washington Wizards are away from home (15th-least in the league).

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