Josh Green Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2023

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Josh Green

NBA · Player Props

Josh Green

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks · Feb 10, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Green has successfully made 63.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 6.6% more than he's made in all games this season.
Josh Green has tallied 34.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 10.9 higher than he's tallied overall this year on the road.
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to 3-point attempts.
The matchup vs. De'Aaron Fox is a strong one for three-point shots; when facing fellow starting PGs this year, they have sunk an enormous 38.7% of their attempts from beyond the arc (100th percentile).
The Kings have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games in their home city, which should raise possessions for the Mavericks.

Favors Under

Josh Green has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (85th percentile).
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA when playing away from home this year.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Josh Green will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to lowers player performance for all stats.

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