Josh Green Points - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Josh Green

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks · Feb 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Green has sunk a terrific 56.3% of his shot attempts from the field this season, a big improvement over his 47.8 mark last season.
Josh Green has tallied 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.9 more than he's tallied overall this season.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing away from home in terms of three-point attempts.
This matchup is a good one for 3-pointers; opposing teams have tallied the 3rd-most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (11.4).
The Jazz have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to increased possessions for the Mavericks.

Favors Under

Josh Green has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (83rd percentile).
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA away from home this year.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Jazz have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Jazz may be a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; their opposition have attempted a measly 26.4 foul shots per game over the last 25 games when the Jazz are at home (2nd-least in the league).