Josh Green Points - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2023

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Josh Green

NBA · Player Props

Josh Green

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 2, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+108/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Green has successfully made 69.7% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 6.0% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year while on his home court.
Josh Green has sunk 40.4% of his three-point shots this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile among all players in the league.
Josh Green has averaged 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.9 more than he's averaged overall this year.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point attempts.
The Pelicans have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Mavericks.

Favors Under

Josh Green has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The matchup against the Pelicans is a difficult one for attempts from downtown; opposing teams have totaled the 7th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (36.1).
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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