Josh Giddey Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2024

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Josh Giddey

NBA · Player Props

Josh Giddey

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 20, 2024

Updated Jan 21, 2024 1:21 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Giddey Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Giddey has averaged 6.4 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
The 8th-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Thunder.

Favors Under

The Thunder will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 8.3 offensive boards per game this year.
While playing at home, the Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Josh Giddey will likely see a decline in production across the board considering being on the road in this game.

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