Josh Giddey Points - Player Prop Bet 5/11/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Josh Giddey

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 11, 2024

Updated May 11, 2024 3:32 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Giddey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+124/-148).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Giddey has successfully made 55.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 7.8% more than he's put through the net in all games this season while on the road.
Josh Giddey has successfully made 52.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 18.6% higher than he's sunk in all games this year while playing away from home.
Josh Giddey has been on the court for 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 6.4 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year on the road.
The Thunder check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The 5th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Favors Under

The matchup against Dallas is a hard one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Mavericks are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 4th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.6).
The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a decline in possessions today from squaring off against the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 2.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).
Josh Giddey will likely suffer a reduction in output in all stat categories on account of being on the road in this contest.