Josh Giddey Points - Player Prop Bet 5/9/2024

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Josh Giddey

NBA · Player Props

Josh Giddey

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks · May 9, 2024

Updated May 10, 2024 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Giddey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Giddey has made 1.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's made from downtown overall this year.
With respect to shooting, the Oklahoma City Thunder's stellar 122.3 points per game playing at home ranks 2nd-best in the NBA this year.
The matchup against Dallas is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Mavericks are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 9th-most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (2.4).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Josh Giddey has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 17.5% more than he's converted in all games this year playing at home.

Favors Under

The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should decrease possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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