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Josh Giddey

Josh Giddey Points
Player Prop - 5/7/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks

Josh Giddey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+120/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Josh Giddey has converted 2.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season.

In terms of shooting, the Thunder's stellar 122.5 points per game when playing at home settles in as the 2nd-strongest in the league this year.

The matchup against Dallas is a favorable one for threes; when the Dallas Mavericks are on the road, opposing starting PGs have totaled the 9th-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (2.4).

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.

Josh Giddey has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 17.5% more than he's sunk over the course of the year while at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).

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