Josh Giddey Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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Josh Giddey

NBA · Player Props

Josh Giddey

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 10, 2024 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Giddey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Giddey has made 7.8 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.4 more than he's converted over the course of the season while on his home court.
Josh Giddey has tallied 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 more than he's tallied overall this season.
In terms of shooting, the Thunder's exceptional 122.9 points per game as the home team measures as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games as the home team.
Compared to last season's 70.1% rate, Josh Giddey's foul-shot ability has increased this season to 81.1%.

Favors Under

This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have compiled 15.2 points per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, designating this as a challenging matchup for offensive performance.
The Kings have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Thunder.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the league with only 8.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The matchup vs. Sacramento is a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.3 free throws per game this year when the Sacramento Kings are away from home (8th-least in the NBA).

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