Josh Giddey Points - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2024

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Josh Giddey

NBA · Player Props

Josh Giddey

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 23, 2024

Updated Jan 24, 2024 1:27 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Giddey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Giddey has converted 63.1% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 13.2% more than he's converted over the course of the season while at home.
Josh Giddey has attempted 4.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted overall this year.
The Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games while on their home court.
The matchup against the Trail Blazers may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 6.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (29th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a hard one for three-point shots; opposing starting PGs have posted the 13th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (29.8%).
The Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have snagged 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (preserving possessions that can generate additional opportunities for offense).

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