Josh Giddey Points - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2024

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Josh Giddey

NBA · Player Props

Josh Giddey

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 11, 2024

Updated Jan 12, 2024 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Giddey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-145/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Giddey has sunk 63.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 15.8% higher than he's converted over the course of the season when playing at home.
Josh Giddey has converted 51.8% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 24.4% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this season with the home court advantage.
The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The 7th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the league this year has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which should lead to more plays for the Thunder.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers is a difficult one for 3-point shots; the opposing team's starting PGs have shot for the 13th-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (29.8%).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 20 games when they are playing at home, the other team has grabbed 12.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (continuing possessions that can generate extra chances for offense).

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