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Josh Giddey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Among all players in the league, Josh Giddey comes in at the 25th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a measly 1.4 fouls per game this year.With respect to shooting, the Thunder's excellent 120.4 points per game measures as the 5th-highest in the NBA this year.The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.The Kings have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which should boost opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder.This year, opposing clubs have brought down 9.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings (reducing possessions that could otherwise bring about additional opportunities for offense).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Josh Giddey has attempted just 11.9 field goals per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 14.8 rate last season.The matchup against Sacramento is a tough one; when the Kings are at home, they have given up the 6th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (16.9).Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the NBA while playing away from home with just 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 3.5 free throws per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.Josh Giddey will likely see a decline in production for all stats as a result of being on the road in this matchup.
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