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Josh Giddey

Josh Giddey Points
Player Prop - 11/28/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Josh Giddey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Josh Giddey has tallied 1.1 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 19th percentile -- among the league's least-whistled.

The Thunder have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The 10th-fastest pace road offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to increase opportunities for the Thunder.

Compared to last season's 75.8% clip, Josh Giddey's free-throw proficiency has jumped this season to 100.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Josh Giddey has attempted a measly 12.3 shots per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 14.8 rate last year.

The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a hard one for threes; the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 12th-least shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (1.8).

The Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have grabbed 13.4 offensive boards per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (preserving possessions that can bring about additional chances for offense).

Josh Giddey will likely suffer a drop-off in productivity in all stat categories as a result of playing away from hom in this matchup.

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