Josh Giddey Points - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2023

NBA · Player Props

Josh Giddey

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Philadelphia 76ers · Nov 25, 2023

Updated Nov 25, 2023 9:37 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Giddey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+115/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 1.8 clip, Josh Giddey's personal fouls per game have dropped this year to 1.1.
The Thunder check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year.
The 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.
Relative to last season's 70.1% clip, Josh Giddey's free-throw proficiency has increased this season to 84.3%.
The matchup against Philadelphia is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 7.0 free throws per game this year when the 76ers are on their home court (30th-most in the league).

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 14.8 mark, Josh Giddey's shots from the field have dropped this season to 12.3 per game.
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have scored 16.6 points per game (11th-fewest in the NBA) against the Philadelphia 76ers, identifying this as a challenging matchup for offensive production.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-least up-tempo tempo home team in the league this year (the Philadelphia 76ers).
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the league with just 7.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.
When playing away from home, the Philadelphia 76ers have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).