Josh Giddey Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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Josh Giddey

NBA · Player Props

Josh Giddey

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 5, 2023 1:38 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Giddey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-140/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Giddey has attempted 17.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Josh Giddey has converted 45.8% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games on the road, 12.9% more than he's made overall this season away from home.
Josh Giddey has averaged 30.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 82nd percentile.
The matchup against the Warriors is a favorable one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting PGs have posted the 26th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (37.2%).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
The Warriors have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Warriors may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 2.3 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (12th-least in the league).
Josh Giddey will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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