Josh Giddey Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2024

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Josh Giddey

NBA · Player Props

Josh Giddey

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 28, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 7:11 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Giddey Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-162/+132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Giddey has averaged 4.6 assists per game this year, ranking in the 89th percentile -- one of the best in the league in this category over this stretch.
The 9th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Thunder.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should raise possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Pistons have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Josh Giddey has tallied a measly 24.8 minutes per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 31.3 minutes per game last season.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 8.5 offensive boards per game this year.
Josh Giddey will likely experience a decrease in effectiveness across the board due to being on the road in this game.

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