Josh Giddey Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2023

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Josh Giddey

NBA · Player Props

Josh Giddey

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs LA Clippers · Dec 21, 2023

Updated Dec 21, 2023 8:15 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Giddey Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Giddey has tallied 4.5 assists per game this year at home, putting him among the hottest players in the NBA by this metric over this stretch of games: 77th percentile.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home.
Josh Giddey will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually improves stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the NBA away from their home city this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing clubs have captured 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Clippers (retaining possessions that can result in further chances for offense).

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