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Josh Giddey

Josh Giddey Assists
Player Prop - 12/16/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

 
 
 
Josh Giddey Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Josh Giddey has averaged 4.4 assists per game this year, placing him in the 87th percentile -- among the league leaders by this standard over this stretch of games.
  • The Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Thunder will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.5 offensive boards per game this year.
  • The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 5th-most offensive boards per game (13.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Josh Giddey will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally lowers stat production for all stats.

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