Josh Giddey Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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Josh Giddey

NBA · Player Props

Josh Giddey

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Giddey Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Giddey has been called for 1.1 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 20th percentile -- among the league's lowest-fouling.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Josh Giddey has put up a lowly 4.3 assists per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 6.2 assists per game last season.
Josh Giddey has tallied just 26.3 minutes per game this season, significantly lower than his 30.8 minutes per game last season.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the NBA while playing at home with a mere 7.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Without the home court advantage, the Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.9) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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