Josh Giddey Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2023

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Josh Giddey

NBA · Player Props

Josh Giddey

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 6, 2023

Updated Nov 7, 2023 12:22 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Giddey Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Thunder are expected to get a boost in plays today from being pitted against the 4th-fastest pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year (the Hawks).
The Thunder check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team has secured 9.8 offensive boards per game (10th-lowest in the NBA) against the Hawks (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark bonus opportunities for offense).
Josh Giddey will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally raises player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Josh Giddey has put up a lowly 3.5 assists per game this season, significantly less than his 7.2 assists per game last season.

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