Josh Giddey Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/14/2023

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Josh Giddey

NBA · Player Props

Josh Giddey

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 14, 2023

Updated Apr 14, 2023 6:41 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Giddey Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Giddey has totaled 6.2 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league in this category: 96th percentile.
Josh Giddey has tallied 30.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 82nd percentile.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league at home this year, which should increase possessions for the Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Timberwolves have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Josh Giddey will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player production in all stat categories.

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