Josh Giddey Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2023

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Josh Giddey

NBA · Player Props

Josh Giddey

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 12, 2023

Updated Apr 13, 2023 1:51 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Giddey Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-190/+145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Giddey has compiled 6.2 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 95th percentile.
Josh Giddey has tallied 30.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 82nd percentile.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
The Pelicans have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Pelicans have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Thunder.
Josh Giddey will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to worsens player performance across the board.

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