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Jose Alvarado

Jose Alvarado Points
Player Prop - 4/11/2025

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat

Jose Alvarado Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-121/-113).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jose Alvarado has attempted 15.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

In contrast to last season's 1.3 mark, Jose Alvarado's three-point shots sunk have jumped this season to 2.0 per game.

The matchup against the Miami Heat is a favorable one for three-point attempts; opposing starting SGs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.3).

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In terms of scoring, the Pelicans's lackluster 102.3 points per game while playing at home settles in as the lowest in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Pelicans.

Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, struggling to draw fouls.

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