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Jose Alvarado

Jose Alvarado Points
Player Prop - 3/19/2025

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans

Jose Alvarado Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+110/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In contrast to last year's 3.7 clip, Jose Alvarado's shot attempts from beyond the arc have risen this year to 5.2 per game.

The 6th-fastest pace away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

The Timberwolves have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to more plays for the Pelicans.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Jose Alvarado rates in the 17th percentile for shooting effectiveness with a lackluster 38.0% rate this year.

The Pelicans rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA away from home this year.

This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 39.8% on shots from the field (weakest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, making this a difficult matchup.

The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the NBA).

Jose Alvarado will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

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