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Jose Alvarado

Jose Alvarado Points
Player Prop - 2/12/2025

New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings

Jose Alvarado Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jose Alvarado has made 2.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, putting him in the 85th percentile among all players in the league.

The 2nd-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

The Kings have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Pelicans.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 2nd-best in in the league playing at home with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Jose Alvarado is expected to get a boost in output in all facets of the game on account of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Jose Alvarado rates in the 22nd percentile for scoring prowess while playing at home with an unimpressive 38.1% rate this year.

As it relates to shooting, the New Orleans Pelicans's unimpressive 110.0 points per game settles in as the 8th-lowest in the league this year.

This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have registered 15.2 points per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, creating a difficult matchup for offensive productivity.

This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

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