Jordan Poole Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jordan Poole

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Washington Wizards · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 12, 2024 9:09 PM EST

Analysis

Jordan Poole Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-123/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Jordan Poole places in the 90th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, totaling 6.3 per game this year.
Among all players in the league, Jordan Poole rates in the 75th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 28.9 minutes per game while on the road this year.
This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 2.8 3-pointers per game (28th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making this a positive matchup.
The most up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year has been the Wizards.
The Wizards are expected to get a boost in possessions today from squaring off against the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Favors Under

Jordan Poole has tallied 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The Mavericks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (10th-least in the league).
Jordan Poole is expected to experience a decrease in performance in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this contest.