Jordan Poole Points - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2023

NBA · Player Props

Jordan Poole

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors · Dec 27, 2023

Updated Dec 28, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Poole Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Poole has made 9.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.2 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while on his home court.
Jordan Poole has attempted 9.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court.
The fastest tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Wizards.
Away from home, the Toronto Raptors have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (8.9) in the league to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jordan Poole has committed 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (95th percentile).
This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 4.3 three attempts per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Raptors, creating a hard matchup.
The Washington Wizards are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from being pitted against the 6th-most sluggish tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Raptors).
The Washington Wizards have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Toronto Raptors may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.2 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (14th-least in the league).