Jordan Poole Points - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jordan Poole

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Washington Wizards · Dec 21, 2023

Updated Dec 22, 2023 2:33 AM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Poole Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Poole has attempted 14.2 field goals per game on the road this year, putting him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league.
Jordan Poole has attempted 6.4 three-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Washington Wizards check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 51.5% on shots from the field (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Portland Trail Blazers, labeling this as a strong matchup.
The most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Jordan Poole comes in at the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 3.2 fouls per game when playing on the road this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Washington Wizards.
The Wizards check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Trail Blazers have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Jordan Poole will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lower stat production in all facets of the game.