Jordan Poole Points - Player Prop Bet 12/13/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jordan Poole

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs New Orleans Pelicans · Dec 13, 2023

Updated Dec 14, 2023 12:13 AM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Poole Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Poole has successfully made 2.6 treys per game over the last 8 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season.
With respect to offense, the Wizards's outstanding 115.6 points per game while at home places 10th-strongest in the league this year.
This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 6.3 three attempts per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Pelicans, designating this as a favorable matchup.
The most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Washington Wizards.
The Washington Wizards are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-fastest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 11 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jordan Poole slots into the 94th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 3.1 fouls per game away from home this year.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards rank 1stworst in in the league with a mere 7.4 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 5 games, their opposition has captured 11.4 offensive rebounds per game (9th-most in the NBA) against the Pelicans (lengthening possessions that can create additional opportunities for offense).
Compared to last year's 4.1 rate, Jordan Poole's foul shots scored have decreased this year to 3.1 per game.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (14th-fewest in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.