Jordan Poole Points - Player Prop Bet 5/8/2023

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Jordan Poole

NBA · Player Props

Jordan Poole

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors · May 8, 2023

Updated May 9, 2023 2:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Poole Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Poole has attempted 7.2 shots from downtown per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league.
The matchup against the Lakers is a good one for shot attempts from the field; opposing starting PGs have totaled the 30th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.4).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should boost plays for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jordan Poole has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (86th percentile).
While at home, the Lakers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free throw line: worst in the league this year with a measly 20.3 foul shot attempts per game.
Jordan Poole will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally reduces player production for all stats.

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