Jordan Poole Points - Player Prop Bet 4/30/2023

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Jordan Poole

NBA · Player Props

Jordan Poole

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 30, 2023

Updated Apr 30, 2023 7:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jordan Poole Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Poole has attempted 7.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Jordan Poole has tallied 28.5 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The matchup against Sacramento is a good one; when the Kings are on their home court, they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs this year (19.5).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the speediest pace in the league this year.
The Kings have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Warriors.

Favors Under

Jordan Poole has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (85th percentile).
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been poor at getting to the free throw line: worst in the league this year with a measly 20.5 foul shots per game.
Jordan Poole will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player production for all stats.

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