Jordan Poole Points - Player Prop Bet 2/24/2023

NBA · Player Props

Jordan Poole

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets · Feb 24, 2023

Updated Feb 25, 2023 2:46 AM EST

Analysis

Jordan Poole Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Poole has successfully made 2.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking in the 94th percentile among all players in the league.
The Rockets have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 7 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jordan Poole has converted 93.6% of his free throws with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the league.
Jordan Poole will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to increases player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Jordan Poole has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The matchup against Houston is a hard one for field goals; when the Rockets are away from home, the opposition's starting PGs have posted the 15th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (39.0%).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Rockets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line of late: worst in the NBA over the last 15 games with just 17.5 foul shots per game.