Jordan Poole Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2023

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Jordan Poole

NBA · Player Props

Jordan Poole

G · Washington Wizards

Assists

Orlando Magic vs Washington Wizards · Dec 1, 2023

Updated Dec 2, 2023 12:18 AM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Poole Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Poole has totaled 3.7 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this standard: 83rd percentile.
The Wizards have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league when playing on the road this year.
The Washington Wizards will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from facing the 4th-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Magic).
This year, the other team has nabbed 8.7 offensive boards per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Magic (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense).

Favors Under

Jordan Poole has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Washington Wizards check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Jordan Poole will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to worsen stat production across the board.

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