Jordan Hawkins Points - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jordan Hawkins

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans · Nov 27, 2023

Updated Nov 28, 2023 2:03 AM EST

Analysis

Jordan Hawkins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Hawkins has sunk 3.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's converted overall this season when playing away from home.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league while on their home court this year.
The Jazz have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 8 games away from their home stadium, which should raise opportunities for the Pelicans.
The Pelicans rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 7 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jordan Hawkins has sunk 93.6% of his free throws over the last 10 games on the road, 8.6% more than he's made over the course of the year when playing on the road.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jordan Hawkins places in the 95th percentile for technical fouls, putting up a monstrous 0.2 fouls per game while playing on the road this year.
When it comes to 3-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the league playing at home since the start of last season has been the Pelicans.
This matchup is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing squads have totaled the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (39.8).
This year when they are on the road, their opposition has attempted 25.8 free throws per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Jazz, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.
Jordan Hawkins will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually lowers player production in all facets of the game.