Jordan Clarkson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/29/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jordan Clarkson

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Orlando Magic vs Utah Jazz · Feb 29, 2024

Updated Feb 29, 2024 6:43 PM EST

Analysis

Jordan Clarkson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Jordan Clarkson slots into the 75th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 28.6 minutes per game on the road this year.
The Jazz have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
The Orlando Magic have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 16.9 rate, Jordan Clarkson's shots from the field have regressed this season to 14.7 per game.
Jordan Clarkson has sunk a mere 1.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 2.5 rate last season.
When it comes to three-pointers, the Utah Jazz's feeble 34.7% rate of sunk threes while playing on the road comes in as the 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.
Over the last 5 games, their opposition has shot 39.2% on 3-pointers (8th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic, branding this as a good matchup.
The Utah Jazz are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Magic).