Jonathan Mogbo Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2025

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Jonathan Mogbo

NBA · Player Props

Jonathan Mogbo

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Orlando Magic vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 4, 2025

Updated Mar 4, 2025 11:49 PM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Mogbo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonathan Mogbo has tallied 26.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 7.7 more than he's tallied overall this season on the road.
The Raptors have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games as the away team.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Jonathan Mogbo has successfully made 86.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 18.0% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season while playing on the road.

Favors Under

Jonathan Mogbo has made 0.3 three-point shots per game this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Jonathan Mogbo has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.4 more than he's averaged overall this year on the road.
When it comes to offense, the Toronto Raptors's feeble 100.6 points per game as the visting team places 2nd-lowest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Toronto Raptors will likely see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Orlando Magic).
Jonathan Mogbo will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually lowers player performance across the board.

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