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Jonathan Mogbo

Jonathan Mogbo Points
Player Prop - 2/26/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Toronto Raptors

Jonathan Mogbo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jonathan Mogbo has converted 41.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 9.6% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season.

Jonathan Mogbo has averaged 22.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.0 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.

The 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Raptors.

The Raptors will likely get a boost in plays in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pacers).

The Toronto Raptors rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jonathan Mogbo has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's averaged overall this year.

With respect to scoring, the Raptors's subpar 105.0 points per game on the road comes in as the 3rd-worst in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The matchup against the Indiana Pacers is a hard one for three-point attempts; opposing starting PFs have tallied the least three attempts per game in the league this year (2.5).

Jonathan Mogbo should see a decline in output for all stats due to playing away from home in this game.

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