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Jonathan Kuminga

Jonathan Kuminga Points
Player Prop - 12/28/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat

Jonathan Kuminga Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The matchup against the Heat is a positive one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 29th-highest three rate in the league this year (43.4%).

The Golden State Warriors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 25 games, the other team has collected 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Heat (turning over possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense).

Jonathan Kuminga has attempted 3.8 free throws per game this year, placing him in the 85th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Jonathan Kuminga ought to see a rise in efficiency for all stats as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jonathan Kuminga has made 24.4% of his 3-pointers this year, placing him in the 19th percentile out of all players in the league.

Jonathan Kuminga has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (89th percentile).

As it relates to offense, the Golden State Warriors's unimpressive 45.3% field goal percentage as the home team comes in as the 3rd-weakest in the NBA this year.

The 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Warriors.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the Warriors.

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